Overbought or Just Getting Started?
Technical indicators suggest both metals may be overextended in the short term. A brief consolidation or pullback wouldn’t surprise seasoned traders. But historically, such pauses have acted as springboards, not ceilings.
“Traders shouldn’t confuse exhaustion with completion,” Hansen warns. “Markets rarely move in straight lines. But when the consolidation ends – and it will – the next phase could make today’s highs look cheap.”
That view aligns with forecasts from leading banks. Goldman Sachs recently lifted its Gold target to $4,900 by 2026, while UBS stated that a decline in real interest rates, possibly into negative territory, could push gold prices toward $4,700. The Gold & Silver Club’s in-house models project a base-case target of $5,000 for Gold and $75 for Silver within the next 12 months – describing those figures as “conservative.”
The Great Debasement Trade
What makes this cycle unique, Hansen explains, is that it’s not just about inflation – it’s about trust.
“Traders and Investors have realized that every major currency is being debased simultaneously,” he says. “This is the essence of what we call the Debasement Trade – the global shift from paper promises to hard assets.”
That shift, Hansen argues, is no longer confined to institutional players. “From pension funds to private investors, the message is spreading fast: metal is real, and money isn’t.”
While Gold and Silver may experience short-term pauses, the structural drivers – monetary debasement, fiscal dominance and de-dollarization – remain firmly in place. For long-term Traders and Investors, the bigger risk isn’t being too early. It’s being too late.
“Every major bull market gives investors one chance to position before the real explosion,” Hansen concludes. “This is that moment. History doesn’t ring a bell at the top – but it often whispers at the bottom of the next leg higher.”
The only question is: Are you positioned to capitalize on the greatest financial shift of our lifetime – or are you still watching from the sidelines?