The supply chain problems that defined 2025 are not going away anytime soon.
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A new 2026 Forecasting Report from Sedgwick finds that trade policy uncertainty, geopolitical tension, and cyber threats will continue to put pressure on global supply chains in the year ahead.
The annual report draws on responses from 300 Fortune 500 executives across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It looks at risk across several areas, including supply chain operations, technology, labor, and catastrophe exposure.
Trade policy stood out as one of the biggest pain points. Two-thirds of executives surveyed said recent U.S. trade policies have had a negative impact on their business, while just 3% reported any positive effect. Manufacturing and retail leaders were among the most affected.
Geopolitical volatility also remains a major concern. Sixty-five percent of executives cited economic and geopolitical instability as a primary supply chain risk, while 38% said cybersecurity is now a vulnerability within their supply networks.
“Supply chain risk has become a defining challenge for 2026, fueled by global volatility, shifting trade policies, material shortages and labor constraints,” the researchers wrote. “At Sedgwick, our leaders agree: disruption is now the norm, not the exception. Geopolitical instability, cyber threats and legacy systems are amplifying vulnerability across industries and government. The organizations that will thrive are those that prioritize agility, diversify suppliers, and invest in proactive planning and technology.”
Beyond supply chains, the report highlights growing risks tied to artificial intelligence, labor availability, extreme weather, and other factors. While 70% of respondents said they have AI risk committees in place, only 14% believe they are fully prepared for AI deployment. Nearly a third said they are struggling to keep up or are already behind.
“Navigating risk in 2026 is about planning for what you don’t know is coming, not just what keeps you up at night right now,” said Mike Arbour. “This report should serve as a guide for companies across industries. Preparation, resilience, and long-term success is contingent upon having a full spectrum understanding of the present and future risk.”
